The latest Raiffeisen analysis of the macroeconomic situation in Croatia estimates that the probability of new elections has been reduced. However, the RBA report warns, political uncertainty continues, primarily due to the fact that the PM may encounter numerous problems trying to put together a majority needed for the appontiment of new ministers. Since polls indicate that no single party would get such a majority, even with new elections, the prognosis is not particularly good, especially regarding the mid- and long-term effects of the current crisis, expected to slow down the implementation of reforms. However, RBA analysts believe that, in the short term, the crisis will not have particularly devastating effects on the economy.